So I’m getting ready for some football; yes that’s right it’s football season and I’m going to blog about my gambling experiences betting on football and I will also be participating in daily fantasy football games also.
I’m starting with $50 on Yahoo and Fanduel. Going to play the $1/$2 entries to build up bankroll. We’ll see what happens.
I’m also going to put $50 into a sportsbook account and try and get that up to $1,000 – mostly by betting parlays and teasers.
General strategy for daily fantasy football games:
Pick players from high scoring games. I’m going to check sportsbook and use the over/under as a starting point. If any game has a O/U of at least 48 total points then I’m picking as many players from that game. I didn’t come up with this strategy but I think it’s a sound strategy…besides the people at Vegas are very good at predicting these things.
Another strategy I want to try is keying certain players and loading them up on my team. This might be a disaster because if my keyed player gets hurt or has a bad game then most of my entries will go bust. Cheap good players are hard to find on fantasy sites so if I find a cheap player that has high upside then I’m going all in.
WRs to Target on Fanduel:
Jordan Matthews – $6,800
Davante Adams – $5,500
John Brown – $6,000
Chris Ivory – $6,400
For WRs, my preference is to always have a cheap player with explosive potential. All 3 WRs I have listed all fit in that category. I’m particularly excited about having Matthews on my team. Atlanta’s D is pretty bad and I think the Eagle’s offensive strategy will create many opportunities for stats.
For RBs, I’m looking for cheap RBs who are goal line vultures or RBs that can catch. 3 down backs are hard to find and they’re also expensive on FanDuel, consequently, my strategy of loading on cheap WRs will allow me to pick at least one elite runner. For week 1 I love Eddie Lacy ($8,500). I think with Chicago’s weak D and all the injuries to the Green Bay WRs will force McCarthy to run Eddie Lacy more until Cobb heals and when Davante Adams/Janis/Ty Montgomery finally understand the complex passing offense that the Packers employ. Losing Jordy Nelson is a big deal for GB. It doesn’t mean that anyone can replace a talent like Nelson, despite the obv athleticism shown by the 3 young WRs vying to replace Nelson.
RBs to target on Fanduel:
Chris Ivory – $6,400.
I liked what I saw from Ivory so far. He runs tough and he even has shown some soft hands out of the backfield. He’s also the primary goal line back. Not bad.
Doug Martin – $6,900.
Contract year and has a chip on his shoulder. I’ll take a flyer and go with the muscle hamster.
Jonathan Stewart – $7,100.
I know he gets hurt all the time but I think the Panthers are going to lean on the run more this year and Stewart will be the primary back in my opinion. The funny thing about talented backs who get hurt a lot…they always have one really good year where they’re healthy…think Arian Foster or CJ Spiller. Stewart is due.
Another strategy is to take the cheapest kicker possible that is attached to a decent offense. I want kickers who play on offenses that stall inside the opponents 30 yd line.
The only TEs that I would even consider are obv the big three (Gronk, Graham, Olson)…yes Greg Olson is an elite TE. Who else is Cam Newton going to be throwing to? These TEs will cost you. Graham is $6,900.
I won’t go for the middle tier TE’s. I don’t think they hold any value. I’d rather take a chance on a athletic TE that is a endzone target:
Tyler Eifert – $5,000
Jordan Cameron – $5,500
Larry Donnell – $5,300
Eric Ebron – $5,000
Charles Clay – $5,000
These are the cheapest TEs with the most upside in my opinion. They key here is that all of these TEs have decent QBs throwing to them (except Charles Clay) and they’re supposed to get their share of end zone targets as well. For week 1 I really like Cameron as a cheap decent upside TE.
I really love the Jets D ($4,400) against a horrible Cleveland offense. I also like Miami’s D ($4,700) because they’re playing the Redskins and whomever they start at QB…Kirk Cousins? HA. I also love Minnesota’s D, especially for their week 1 match up with the Niners. Kaepernick is completely lost at QB. They lost a lot of talent on both sides of the ball and lost their head coach. This team needs a year or two to re-set so I’m going to gamble on the Niners being a sub 6 win team. The other strategy is to stream defenses depending on the team they’re playing. Houston, San Fran, Cleveland, Buffalo, Jets, Carolina, Washington, and the Jaguars are all teams I’d consider using a defense against.
That’s my strategy and I’m hoping it’s a good one.
Starting Bankroll: $50